Expert Group Meeting on Completing the Fertility Transition

11-14 March 2002

Proceedings of the meeting

Executive Summary

Part One

Report of the meeting

• Summary of country papers
• Annexes: Agenda, List of participants, List of documents

Part Two. Background Papers

• The future of fertility in intermediate-fertility countries
  Population Division
• The contemporary population challenge
  John Caldwell
• Impact of the 1994 International Conference on Population and Development
  Jason Finkle
• The role of international funding in future fertility declines among intermediate-fertility countries
  Steven W. Sinding
• Examining changes in the status of women and gender as predictors of fertility change issues in intermediate-fertility countries
  Maria E. Cosio-Zavala
• The impact of HIV-1 on fertility in sub-Saharan Africa: causes and consequences
  Simon Gregson, Basia Zaba and Susan-Catherine Hunter
• Fertility levels and trends in countries with intermediate levels of fertility
  Population Division
• Structures familiales et evolutions de la fecondite dans les pays a fecondite intermediaire d'Afrique de l'ouest
  Thérèse Locoh
• Education and future fertility trends, with special reference to mid-transitional countries
  John Cleland
• Female labour-force participation
  Lin Lean Lim
• Views and policies concerning population growth and fertility among governments in intermediate-fertility countries
  Population Division
• Effort measures for family planning action programs: past trends and future prospects
  John Ross
• The end of the fertility transition in the developing world
  John Bongaarts
• The proximate determinants during the fertility transition
  Jean-Pierre Guengant

Part Three. Country Papers

• Completing the fertility transition: the case of Argentina
  Edith Alejandra Pantelides
• When will Bangladesh reach replacement-level fertility? The role of education and family planning services
  Mizanur Rahman, Julie DaVanzo and Abdur Razzaque
• What will happen to Brazilian fertility?
  Ana Maria Goldani
• India's changing dates with replacement fertility: a review of recent fertility trends and future prospects
  P.N. Mari Bhat
• On the future of human fertility in India
  Tim Dyson
• Caught in transit: Questions about the future of Indonesian fertility
  Terry H.Hull
• Recent changes and the future of fertility in Iran
  Mohammad Jalal Abbasi-Shavazi
• Fertility in Israel: is the transition to replacement level in sight?
  Dov Friedlander
• Completing the fertility transition: Jordan, Lebanon, Syria
  Riad Tabbarah
• Kenya's fertility transition: how low will it go?
  John Blacker
• Sur les pas de l'Europe du sud: la fecondite au Maghreb
  Youssef Courbage
• Fertility in Mexico: trends and forecast
  Rodolfo Tuiran, Virgilio Partida, Octavio Mojarro and Elena Zúñiga
• Fertility transition in Nigeria: trends and prospect
  Bamikale J. Feyisetan and Akinrinola Bankole
• Fertility decline in the Philippines: current status, future prospects
  Marilou Palabrica-Costello and John B. Casterline
• Fertility transition in South Africa and its implications on the four major population groups
  Leon Swartz
• On the prospects for endless fertility decline in South Asia
  Alaka Malwade Basu

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